Pay raises and retiree COLAs: Good news vs. bad news

As often happens in the workplace, the good news and the bad news can be the same thing. This can be true for retirees, too.

For example, after going weeks without pay during the not-so-great government shutdown, some 800,000 feds, many of whom were forced to work while others forced to stay home for 35 days, have finally gotten or will be getting their retroactive pay. That’s the good news.

The bad news, however, is that because of deductions that disappeared because of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, many of the lump sum payments workers have gotten are much less than they anticipated. Many people who normally get tax refunds from the federal government are learning they will be smaller this year, or in some cases they could wind up owing the government.

For federal workers the good news is that Congress approved a 1.9 percent raise for them despite the fact that the president wanted to freeze pay in 2019. Once locality pay is factored in, the raises will range from 1.5 percent to as much as 2.2 percent in some high-wage areas such as San Francisco, Washington, D.C.; New York City, Los Angeles and Houston.

That’s good news if you are in a locality pay zone, not so good news if you are in the RUS (rest of the United States). More on that can be found in Tuesday’s column.

Percentage-wise the 2019 pay raises for federal workers will be smaller than the 2.8 percent cost of living adjustment for retirees under the Civil Service Retirement System and Social Security. And it is the biggest COLA in 7 years. That’s the good news for them. But for retirees under the Federal Employees Retirement System, which also covers the majority of still-working feds, their diet COLA formula means they will only get 2 percent. That doesn’t seem like much of a loss but it could be a sign that inflation is on the rise and that future COLAs for FERS retirees will fall further and further behind.

The diet COLA formula means that anytime the COLA — based on the actual inflation rate — goes up between 2 percent and 3 percent for CSRS retirees those under the newer FERS plan will be limited to an inflation catch up of only 2 percent, like this year. If the COLA is above 3 percent, FERS retirees will get the equivalent of the CSRS COLA minus 1.0 percent.

So while a higher COLA is better because it helps retirees keep up with inflation, the fact that it is higher means FERS retirees will fall further behind, meaning their costs will rise but their income won’t each year.

Nearly Useless Factoid

By Amelia Brust

Although it’s now synonymous with Japan, sushi is thought to originate from Southeast Asia in the second century A.D. People needed a way to keep fish fresh without refrigeration, so cured meat would be wrapped in rice and fermented. Months later the rice would be discarded and the fish eaten. Eventually the idea spread to China and Japan where it evolved into the edo sushi style of raw fish and vinegar-treated rice popular today.

Source: University of Florida

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Sep 17, 2021 Close Change YTD*
L Income 23.2077 -0.0415 4.43%
L 2025 12.0240 -0.0418 8.33%
L 2030 42.5522 -0.1952 10.54%
L 2035 12.7953 -0.0643 11.50%
L 2040 48.4773 -0.2641 12.46%
L 2045 13.2947 -0.0772 13.28%
L 2050 29.1552 -0.1795 14.12%
L 2055 14.3671 -0.1053 17.18%
L 2060 14.3671 -0.1053 17.18%
L 2065 14.3671 -0.1054 17.18%
G Fund 16.6644 0.0006 0.88%
F Fund 21.0666 -0.0298 -0.55%
C Fund 66.6676 -0.6128 21.56%
S Fund 85.0861 -0.0794 16.31%
I Fund 39.4469 -0.3006 11.70%
Closing price updated at approx 6pm ET each business day. More at
* YTD data is updated on the last day of the month.