The 3 Ps: Pay, pensions and premiums going up?

It will be late this year, probably November or December, before active and retired federal workers find out how much extra money if any they may have to spend next year. And it won’t be until later that they learn how much more they will have to shell out for the 2020 health insurance coverage.

For now it is educated guess work at best.

  • Pay raise: Will white collar employees get one in January? Odds are slightly in their favor, but it’s not going to be easy. So make that a maybe.
  • Cost of living adjustment: Will federal, military and Social Security retirees get a COLA in January? So far the numbers are in their favor. But the countdown that counts (the Consumer Price Index numbers for July, August and September) are yet to come. So make that a probably.
  • Health premiums: Are they going up in 2020? Does a bear forage in the forest?

It is safe to say that most health premiums in the Federal Employee Health Benefits Program will be going up in 2020, as they did in 2019 and 2018, and the year before that. Medical inflation generally outpaces regular inflation — big time! Some plans, those that are favorites of federal retirees, will be going up more than others. A few may hold the line and one or two may actually reduce premiums.

Bottom line is nobody will know until just before the November open season. Then workers and retirees will have an extended period and a lot of help to shop for the best deal. Most feds, retirees and their survivors, have anywhere from 20 to 30 plans to choose from. The government will pay more than 70% of the total premium.

In a best-case scenario workers will get a raise, retirees will get a COLA and premiums won’t go up enough to eat up those increases.

So what’s the outlook?

On today’s Your Turn radio show we’ll be talking with Federal News Network reporter Nicole Ogrysko, who’s been following the pay raise in Congress. On Monday the House Appropriations Committee approved a 3.1% pay raise. If approved by the full House and Senate that would lead to a 3.1% raise divided between an across-the-board increase of 2.6% with another 0.5% provided for locality adjustments.

The president has proposed no increase. He wants a system that would permit individual agencies to allocate raises based on merit and performance, as defined by that agency.

Mike Meese, executive vice president and secretary of the American Armed Forces Mutual Aid Association

We’ll also be looking at upcoming changes in the Thrift Savings Plan designed to make it easier for participants to withdraw money. Expect to hear from Mike Meese, executive vice president and secretary of the American Armed Forces Mutual Aid Association. Founded in 1879, shortly following the battle of Little Bighorn, AAFMAA will celebrate 140 years serving military, veterans, and their families next week.

Listen at 10 a.m. EDT today on or 1500 AM in the Washington, D.C., area. The show will also be archived on our home page so you can listen anytime or refer it to a friend or coworkers. If you have questions on pay, premiums or pensions for either of us, send them to before showtime.

Nearly Useless Factoid

By Amelia Brust

Goosebumps are inherited from animal ancestors; tiny elevations of the skin are caused by a contraction of miniature muscles that are attached to each hair. Each contracting muscle creates a shallow depression on the skin surface, which causes the surrounding area to protrude. The contraction also causes the hair to stand up whenever the body feels cold or a person experiences stress from fear or some other emotion. This is due to adrenaline.

Source: Scientific American

Related Stories

    federal pay raise

    House appropriators propose 3.1% federal pay raise, new money for OPM in 2020 draft bill

    Read more
    (AP Photo/Susan Walsh)Russell Vought

    OMB tries again to pitch federal pay freeze, performance awards to Congress

    Read more


Your Turn with Mike Causey


Learn about everything from pay, benefits and retirement, to buyouts, COLAs and pay freezes. Call the show live Wednesdays from 10-11 a.m. at 202-465-3080 with your questions. Dial 605-562-0264 to listen live from any phone. Follow Mike on Twitter and send him an email with your questions and comments. Subscribe on Apple Podcasts or Podcast One.

Sign up for breaking news alerts


Jul 30, 2021 Close Change YTD*
L Income 23.1181 -0.0327 8.86%
L 2025 11.9504 -0.0353 -
L 2030 42.2306 -0.1675 23.52%
L 2035 12.6918 -0.0553 -
L 2040 48.0584 -0.2289 28.43%
L 2045 13.1739 -0.0673 -
L 2050 28.8763 -0.1576 32.85%
L 2055 14.2020 -0.096 -
L 2060 14.2020 -0.096 -
L 2065 14.2021 -0.0959 -
G Fund 16.6362 0.0014 1.02%
F Fund 21.1186 0.0315 -0.18%
C Fund 65.9622 -0.3534 40.77%
S Fund 84.6181 -0.5771 61.70%
I Fund 38.8453 -0.348 32.58%
Closing price updated at approx 6pm ET each business day. More at
* YTD data is updated on the last day of the month.